CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2023-09-14T23:12:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2023-09-14T23:12ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/26930/-1
CME Note: Very faint CME to the SE in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and in STEREO A COR2. The source is likely an M2.5 flare and eruption from AR 3429 (N10E06). Ejecta seen in SDO AIA 304 at 2023-09-14T21:54Z, and post-eruptive brightening is also seen. Post-eruptive arcades seen in SDO AIA 193 at 2023-09-14T22:48Z. It is possible that this CME was swept by the 2023-09-16T09:12Z CME arriving at 2023-09-18T12:58Z.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-09-18T09:29Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 50.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.5 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 65.80 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2023-09-15T15:41Z
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